The result of the local elections on December 7, in which the independent candidate supported by AUR, Anca Alexandrescu, ranked second, behind the social-democrat Daniel Băluță, was analyzed by the director of INSCOP Research, Remus Ștefureac.
Remus Ștefureac explained that, although INSCOP polls accurately predicted Anca Alexandrescu's final score (approximately 21%), her second-place finish was not anticipated. The main explanation lies in the low voter turnout in Bucharest, the lowest in the last decade.
Remus Ștefureac emphasized that Anca Alexandrescu benefited from the superior mobilization of the AUR electorate, a confirmed base of 25% in Bucharest. In contrast, Daniel Băluță was affected by the demobilization of PSD voters, who were not as "engaged".
According to INSCOP, some of the votes that previously went to PSD (strongholds where, for example, Gabriela Firea received votes) migrated to AUR, transforming those areas into successful strongholds for Anca Alexandrescu. On the other hand, the biggest failure was recorded by the USR candidate, Cătălin Drulă, whose score of 13.9% was considered an "electoral disaster" in the context of Nicușor Dan's (supported by USR) previous success.