The formation of the new government is a painful process for three main reasons:
1. Extreme political fragmentation in the Romanian Parliament (10 entities at this moment!)
2. The fact that no major party seems to want to form a coalition with another (except for the conjunctural collaboration between PNL and USR, which cannot generate a majority).
3. The paradox that in reality, almost all parties prefer an opposition game due to the difficulties and enormous costs of the reforms that are inevitable to avoid sliding completely into disaster.
Against this backdrop, we have a president who feels obliged to take on some responsibilities related to forming a majority and a government with full powers, vital in times of crisis and with huge economic and security risks.
Ideally, we would have a political government, but in its absence, the least bad option in the short term remains, and the worst in the long term is a more "technocratic" government with a prime minister assumed by the president, not by the parties, under which the anger and specter of radical populism could grow.
Therefore, President Nicușor Dan must solve the impossible equation.
Coming from an independent platform (our first president of this type) and without a major party behind him, the president must deliver the conditions for creating a majority in the context of maximum fragmentation in Parliament, with parties that seem to be fleeing towards opposition, not towards power, and which look somewhat like this:
1. PSD - 28%
2. AUR - 20%
3. PNL - 16%
4. USR - 13%
5. UDMR - 7%
6. Independents - 4%
7. Minorities - 4%
8. SOS - 3%
9. United for Romania - 3%
10. PACE - 2%
P.S. this impossible equation can only be simplified by the specter of early elections that would quickly tame the asperities; or perhaps we will witness an exceptional solution and then the president would deserve first prize at the National Politics Olympics.
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