Financial markets have been affected by Trump's threats of tariffs on Europe, causing declines in stock markets and volatility of the dollar.

Global markets started the week under pressure, after U.S. President Donald Trump renewed threats of tariffs on European allies, in the context of tensions related to Greenland. This rhetoric led to a negative reaction in the stock markets, with declines of over 1% for European stocks and a negative opening for U.S. indices. The dollar also felt pressure, suggesting a vulnerability to geopolitical risks. Trump announced that he would impose additional tariffs of 10% starting February 1, increasing them to 25% from June if no agreement is reached.

In this context, the euro and other European currencies appreciated, and the Swiss franc recorded the largest daily increase against the dollar in the last month. Investors are concerned about the uncertainties generated by these trade threats, and analysts warn that the United States could be exposed to capital outflows. The European Union could respond with its own tariffs or a tougher instrument known as the 'anti-coercion instrument.'

Although U.S. financial markets are liquid, Europe is the largest creditor of the U.S., which complicates the situation. Analysts emphasize that, although the dollar has stabilized recently, the appetite for diversification is increasing, and renewed trade threats heighten economic uncertainties, especially for countries like the United Kingdom and Germany. The impact of tariffs could reduce economic output by 0.2%-0.3%, and economists warn that the effects could be broader in the event of retaliation from the EU.