CFA Romania's Macroeconomic Confidence Indicator fell by 14.9 points, suggesting risks of recession and rising inflation
Ana Maria Eftene
Economy
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In June, the CFA Association Romania's Macroeconomic Confidence Indicator fell significantly by 14.9 points to 29.9 points, suggesting recession risks. The components of the indicator, expectations and current conditions, fell sharply, and the expected inflation rate for the next 12 months rose to 5.35%. Nearly 82% of analysts expect the leu to depreciate and 52% expect property prices to stagnate. The projected budget deficit for 2025 has fallen to 7.5% of GDP, but public debt is expected to rise to 60% of GDP.
Sources
Indicatorul de Încredere Macroeconomică al Asociaţiei CFA România a scăzut puternic în iunie, cu 14,9 puncte până la 29,9 puncte. Analiştii financiari cred că este posibilă intrarea în recesiune a economiei româneşti
Indicatorul de încredere macroeconomică arată un risc crescut de recesiune. Cum pot evolua prețurile la imobiliare și cursul leului în următoarele 12 luni, potrivit CFA România
Semnal de alarmă: Încrederea analiştilor în economie a scăzut puternic în iunie. Adrian Codirlaşu, CFA: Nivelul actual indică un risc foarte crescut de recesiune
România se confruntă cu un „risc foarte crescut de recesiune”. Avertismentul economiștilor: euro poate creşte până la 5,14 lei în următoarele 12 luni.
CFA România: Indicatorul de încredere macroeconomică arată un risc foarte crescut de recesiune
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