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72 new news items in the last 24 hours
  1. Home
  2. Economy

BNR anticipates a decrease in the inflation rate in the third quarter of 2026

Raluca Ioana Draghici
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20 July 2026, 15:37
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The annual inflation rate in Romania began to decrease in June and a significant reduction is expected in the third quarter, according to the minutes of the BNR monetary policy meeting. This decrease is influenced by the fading effects of the removal of the price cap on electricity and the increase in VAT and excise duties.


However, inflation will remain slightly above the previously estimated level, mainly due to the increase in rents for state housing.


The BNR's May forecast indicates an inflation rate of 10.3% in June, decreasing to 5.5% by the end of 2026 and 2.7% in March 2028.


The central bank warns of risks related to gas prices and other raw materials, in the context of the conflict in the Middle East, but also of some factors that could temper inflation, such as the decrease in oil prices.


BNR has decided to maintain the key interest rate at 6.5% and will continue to monitor economic developments to maintain price stability.

Sources

sursa imagine
Economedia
BNR: Inflația va scădea semnificativ în trimestrul al treilea
sursa imagine
NewMoney.ro
BNR anticipează o scădere a ratei inflației în trimestrul al treilea din 2026
sursa imagine
Antena3
BNR a anunțat când va scădea puternic inflația. Ce se întâmplă cu prețurile în lunile următoare
sursa imagine
EuropaFM
Rata anuală a inflaţiei se va reduce substanțial în al treilea trimestru al anului, estimează BNR. Ce factori vor influența evoluția prețurilor | AUDIO

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NEWS ON THE SAME TOPICS

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Economy
The annual inflation rate in Romania is estimated to reach 10.3% in 2026, with high risks for the leu and economic activity.
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Economy
The BNR has decided to maintain the key interest rate at 6.5% to avoid negative economic impact, in the context of an inflation rate of 10.85% in Romania.
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INS: The annual inflation rate decreased to 8.16% in July
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Economy
Inflation in Romania decreased to 10.4% in June 2026, and forecasts indicate a continuation of this trend
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The BNR has revised the inflation forecast for the end of 2026 to 6.1% and estimates an inflation of 3.4% at the end of 2027.
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Economy
The BNR estimates an inflation rate of 5.5% for the end of 2026, but BCR warns that the forecast does not include the impact of the depreciation of the leu from May.
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