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The National Bank of Romania is meeting today to decide the level of the monetary policy interest rate. The NBR is expected to maintain the monetary policy interest rate at 6.5%, despite rising inflation and an alarming budget deficit.

Ana-Maria Tapescu

8 October 2025, 08:31

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Analysts emphasize that maintaining this rate is essential to combat inflation, but it could exacerbate the economic recession. Although there are arguments for a rate cut, inflationary and fiscal risks prevent such a decision.

Sources

BNR e în ședință de politică monetară: Menținerea dobânzii cheie la 6,5% e singura decizie posibilă în acest context incert

BNR se reunește pe 8 octombrie. Economiștii prevăd că dobânda cheie va rămâne neschimbată până în 2026

Economiștii și analiștii marilor bănci din România se așteaptă ca BNR să mențină neschimbată dobânda de politică monetară și în ședința din 8 octombrie

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La poarta inflației de 2 cifre: BNR – așteptată să mențină dobânda cheie – Cum văd bancherii viitorul economiei din perspectiva politicii monetare

BNR, așteptată să ia o decizie importantă privind ratele românilor. Ședință pentru dobânda cheie

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NEWS ON THE SAME TOPICS

Economy

The BNR has decided to maintain the key interest rate at 6.5% to avoid negative economic impact, in the context of an inflation rate of 10.85% in Romania.

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The BNR has decided to maintain the key interest rate at 6.50% per year

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The annual inflation rate in Romania is estimated to reach 10.3% in 2026, with high risks for the leu and economic activity.

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The BNR estimates an inflation rate of 5.5% for the end of 2026, but BCR warns that the forecast does not include the impact of the depreciation of the leu from May.

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The BNR has revised the inflation forecast for the end of 2026 to 6.1% and estimates an inflation of 3.4% at the end of 2027.

International

The Federal Reserve of the USA has decided to keep the benchmark interest rates unchanged, in the context of rising oil prices and high inflation.

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NBR analysts monetary policy interest rate meeting

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