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69 new news items in the last 24 hours
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  2. Economie

The effects of the political crisis on the economy / Analyst: "We will have an exchange rate increase, perhaps towards 7-8 lei, without any doubt."

Sanziana Georgescu
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21 April 2026, 05:54
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Economy
Janusz Pieńkowski / Panthermedia / Profimedia
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The leu is depreciating, and the euro is approaching 5.10 lei, in the context of political instability in Romania. Economists warn that if this instability continues, the exchange rate could even reach 7 lei. Cristian Păun, an economic analyst, emphasizes that a political crisis at this moment exacerbates the economic situation, increasing the risks of Romania being downgraded to 'junk country' status.


This would lead to an increase in interest rates, including ROBOR and IRCC, affecting the costs of loans for Romanians. The Bucharest Stock Exchange opened in the red, and projects with European funds could be blocked due to political turmoil. Political stability is essential to avoid a downgrade and to reduce the budget deficit, as Romania already has the highest interest rates on loans in the region.

Sources

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Antena3
Criza politică aduce șocuri economice. Cristian Păun: "Vom avea o creștere de curs, poate către 7-8 lei, fără nicio urmă de îndoială"
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BZI
Avertisment pentru toți românii! Situația în care Euro ar putea ajunge la 7 lei! 
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B1TV
Criza politică zguduie economia: Rate mai mari pentru români, iar cursul ar putea exploda. Avertismentul alarmant al lui Cristian Păun
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Capital
Criza politică din România depreciază leul și amplifică riscul de retrogradare economică. Cristian Păun: Există un risc foarte, foarte mare să intrăm în junk

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