Romania will experience an economic contraction of 0.1% in 2026, according to the OECD report, but a recovery is expected in 2027, with a growth of 2.5%.

According to the latest OECD Economic Outlook report, Romania will go through a difficult economic period in the short term, with an estimated GDP contraction of 0.1% in 2026, following declines in 2025. The President of the Financial Supervisory Authority, Alexandru Petrescu, emphasized that, in the context of geopolitical uncertainties and inflationary pressures, the global economy remains cautious. The report indicates a recovery of the Romanian economy in 2027, with a growth of 2.5%.

Private consumption will remain weak until 2026, and investments, supported by European funds, will be the engine of growth. It is essential to continue fiscal consolidation for the sustainability of public debt. The report highlights the need for structural reforms, such as the efficient absorption of European funds and digitalization, to transform the current adjustment period into a solid foundation for sustainable growth.