American and European intelligence services warn that Russia may be planning an attack on a NATO member state between this autumn and 2029.

The US and allied intelligence services anticipated Russia's attack on Ukraine months before the event in February 2022. Now, new assessments suggest that Putin may consider an attack on NATO by 2029. Although American officials believed that Russia would not attack a NATO ally due to resource consumption in Ukraine, recent information indicates a possible escalation.

Lithuania has expressed concerns that Russia could organize a 'false flag' attack in the Baltic regions, while Germany condemned a 'hybrid attack' following incidents at Leipzig airport.

Romania, faced with intrusive Russian drone incursions, has mobilized F-16 aircraft to defend its airspace. Historian Armand Goșu suggests that Russia is testing Romania's military capabilities, indicating a possible escalation of the conflict.