Russia could resort to riskier and larger-scale operations against NATO member states supporting Ukraine in the coming months, Michal Koudelka, director of the Czech Security Information Service, warned on Monday at a parliamentary security conference.
According to the Czech official, the scenarios under consideration include sabotage attacks on facilities involved in supporting Ukraine, drone or missile strikes on weapons depots and, in an extreme case, a limited military action against a neighboring Alliance state. Koudelka stressed, however, that such an attack does not currently represent an imminent threat, as Russia is concentrating its forces in Ukraine.
The Czech intelligence service has no concrete information indicating a direct threat to the Czech Republic, but it is actively monitoring Russia’s activities and operations targeting the country and its allies. Koudelka said Moscow’s hybrid actions are aimed at weakening NATO unity.
The warning comes after repeated accusations by Poland of Russian involvement in acts of sabotage and statements by Prime Minister Donald Tusk about the risk of drone and missile attacks. Moscow denies the accusations and maintains that it does not intend to attack European states. NATO’s Supreme Allied Commander Europe, General Alexus Grynkewich, recommended publicly attributing these operations and strengthening support for Ukraine to increase the deterrent effect.
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