The Deputy Governor of the BNR, Cosmin Marinescu, stated that the war in the Middle East generates severe uncertainties, increasing inflation and slowing down economic activity. The short-term impact is felt through rising fuel prices, while the long-term effects depend on the evolution of the conflict. The price of oil has risen significantly, influencing consumer prices and production costs. In Romania, inflation has exceeded 10%, and retail sales have decreased by 6.8% compared to last year. The political crisis has led to the depreciation of the leu and an increase in interest rates, affecting the purchasing power of Romanians. Almost 80% of Romanians have reduced non-essential spending to cope with economic pressures. The BNR adopts a cautious approach, waiting to assess the long-term impact of these external and internal shocks on the economy.
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