BCR chief economist Ciprian Dascălu expects the NBR to keep interest rates unchanged following the VAT and excise tax hikes, which have increased consumer price uncertainty. Inflation has exceeded previous estimates, with BCR forecasting 7.5% inflation at the end of the year. Fiscal adjustments will reduce the trade deficit, but interest rate cuts are not expected until 2026. Against this backdrop, savings protection strategies are essential to maintain purchasing power.
Sources
BCR vede inflația sărind la 7,5% după primul pachet fiscal. 5 sfaturi pragmatice pentru a-ți proteja banii când ai de-a face cu o asemenea inflatie
BNR, așteptată să mențină dobânzile în fața creșterii abrupte a inflației
Inflația va crește puternic până la finalul anului, avertizează economistul-șef BCR. Prețul energiei urcă semnificativ. Când vor începe tăierile de dobânzi
Erste: BNR va amâna mai mult scăderea dobânzilor, în contextul unei inflații peste așteptări și al noilor măsuri fiscale
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