The Macroeconomic Confidence Indicator rose by 5 points in July, but expected inflation and the depreciation of the leu remain worrisome.
Raluca Ioana Draghici
Economy
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The CFA Romania's Macroeconomic Confidence Indicator rose to 34.9 points in July, but the 12-month inflation forecast reached 6.46%. Nearly 94% of respondents expect the leu to depreciate, while 69% expect house prices to stagnate and consider them overvalued. The budget deficit forecast for 2025 has risen to 7.6% of GDP and public debt could reach 59%. Although all participants expect Romania to remain in the investment grade rating category, economic conditions suggest a possible recession.
Sources
Indicatorul de Încredere Macroeconomică al CFA a crescut în iulie. S-a majorat rata anticipată a inflației
CFA România: Prețurile locuințelor, așteptate să stagneze sau să scadă; deficitul bugetar prognozat la 7,6% din PIB
Indicatorul de Încredere Macroeconomică al Asociaţiei CFA România a crescut în iulie cu 5,0 puncte, până la valoarea de 34,9 puncte/ Rata anticipată a inflaţiei a crescut / 94% dintre cei chestionaţi anticipează deprecierea leului faţă de euro
Indicatorul de Încredere Macroeconomică CFA: În continuare, condiții de recesiune
Indicatorul de Încredere Macroeconomică al Asociaţiei CFA România a crescut în iulie cu 5,0 puncte, până la valoarea de 34,9 puncte. Rata anticipată a inflaţiei a crescut și ea
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