Traders on prediction platforms, such as Polymarket, accuse that it is precisely these platforms that manipulate the price of oil.

Energy sector traders recognize that predictive betting platforms, such as Polymarket, have become a valuable resource for anticipating market developments. Polymarket allows users to bet on various real events, from sports to geopolitics, using anonymous cryptocurrency accounts. The data generated by these bets are analyzed and integrated into trading algorithms, influencing decisions related to oil futures contracts. Industry experts emphasize that Polymarket has become a relevant indicator for the direction of the oil market, especially after recent conflicts in the Middle East. However, the growing influence of these platforms has raised concerns about the use of insider information, as some large bets are placed before important announcements. Intercontinental Exchange has launched a tool to provide traders access to predictive market data, and Goldman Sachs has begun to include these analyses in its reports. Analysts warn that the influence of these platforms could amplify volatility in energy markets, although not all traders believe that predictive markets are a decisive tool.