ISW warns that Russia and Belarus could launch sabotage attacks against NATO infrastructure, accusing Ukraine of preparing false flag attacks.

The Institute for the Study of War has signaled the risk that Russia and Belarus may carry out sabotage operations against critical infrastructure in NATO countries, blaming Ukraine. These accusations come after Russia claimed that Ukraine is planning false flag attacks in Poland and Romania to provoke a conflict with NATO. Russian officials allege that Ukraine would recruit members of militant groups to carry out these attacks, and ISW estimates that Russia could create conditions to justify its own attacks.