The Institute for the Study of War has signaled the risk that Russia and Belarus may carry out sabotage operations against critical infrastructure in NATO countries, blaming Ukraine. These accusations come after Russia claimed that Ukraine is planning false flag attacks in Poland and Romania to provoke a conflict with NATO. Russian officials allege that Ukraine would recruit members of militant groups to carry out these attacks, and ISW estimates that Russia could create conditions to justify its own attacks.
Sources
„Rusia și Belarus ar putea lansa atacuri în România și Polonia”. Analiza ISW după ce Moscova a amenințat cu Al Treilea Război Mondial
ISW avertizează că Rusia se pregătește să atace România și Polonia și să dea vina pe Ucraina
ISW: Rusia ar putea trimite drone în Polonia și România pentru a da vina pe Ucraina
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