Western intelligence services, including the CIA, are on alert in the face of a possible threat on NATO's Eastern Flank, after receiving information that Russia is preparing "false flag" operations in Poland and the Baltic states.
These operations could involve attacks or provocations intended to obscure the true origin, placing the blame on Ukraine or other actors. The warnings come in a context where officials in Poland and the Baltic states have repeatedly signaled similar risks. The Polish Foreign Minister emphasized that Russia could use captured drones to create confusion. Additionally, the U.S. has issued warnings about Russian provocations, and officials in the region are strengthening the protection of critical infrastructure.
NATO fears a scenario in which Russia could test the Alliance's unity without triggering a conventional war. The Kremlin has dismissed the accusations, but the alert level remains high among Eastern Flank countries, which are preparing for hybrid provocations and cyberattacks.
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