JUNE 2025: BAROMETER Informat.ro - INSCOP Research: voting intention for parliamentary elections | 38.1% of voters would vote for AUR, 17.4% for PSD, 16% for PNL, and 12.2% for USR

Methodology: Data were collected between 26-30 May 2025. Research method: questionnaire interview. Data were collected using the CATI method (telephone interviews), the simple stratified sample size was 1150 persons, representative by significant socio-demographic categories (sex, age, occupation) for the non-institutionalized population of Romania, aged 18 years and over. The maximum permissible error of the data is ± 2.9% at 95% confidence level.

VOT VOTE PARTIES Parliamentary Elections

Remus Ștefureac - director INSCOP Research: "Beyond the parliamentary representation, the cumulative voting intention for the parties that could form the parliamentary majority (PSD, PNL, USR, UDMR) is 50%, while the rest of the parliamentary parties in the likely opposition score around 44%. The parties not represented in the Parliament add 6%. AUR is the clear leader in terms of voting intention with a score similar to the one obtained by presidential candidate George Simion in Romania in the first round of the presidential elections (38%). PSD and PNL are fighting for second place with scores below 20%, PSD is declining, a phenomenon that can be explained in the context of successive electoral failures in the presidential elections, and PNL is slightly up, probably due to the return to the party's leadership of Ilie Bolojan, currently one of the most trusted political leaders together with Nicușor Dan. USR does not seem to capitalize electorally on a possible association with President Nicușor Dan, with a score similar to the one obtained in the elections, possibly also due to the relevant percentage obtained by SENS, a non-parliamentary party (4%). POT and SOS have a voting intention significantly below the score obtained in the parliamentary elections, given that the candidacy of George Simion helped AUR to attract some of the supporters of these parties."

Estimare turnout vote parliamentary elections

On a scale from 1 to 10, where 1 means "definitely no" will definitely go to vote and 10 "definitely yes" will definitely go to vote, 11.5% of the Romanians chose 1, 0.3% chose 2, 0.3% chose 3, 0.5% chose 4, 3.3% chose 5, 0.6% chose 6, 2% chose 7. 2.3% indicate 8, 3.2% 9 and 74.2% indicate 10. 1.7% do not know or do not answer this question.

Intention to vote for political parties in the parliamentary elections

Rated to the total sample

32.2% of Romanians would vote for AUR, 14.7% for PSD, 13.5% for PNL and 10.2% for USR. The UDMR would vote for 3.8% of the total sample, SENS - 2.8%, POT - 2.7%, and SOS Romania - 2.1%. 1.3% of the total sample expresses a preference for an independent, and 1.1% for another party. 7.2% of those surveyed say they would not go to vote, 6.3% say they don't know/ haven't decided, and 2.2% do not answer.

Regarding those who expressed a preference for a party on the list, regardless of whether they say they would go to vote or not (84.4% of the total sample)

38.1% of voters would vote for AUR, 17.4% for PSD, 16% for PNL, and 12.2% for USR. For UDMR 4.5% of voters would vote for UDMR, for SENS - 3.3%, for POT - 3.2%, and for SOS Romania - 2.5%. 1.5% of respondents express their preference for an independent, and 1.3% for another party.

Those who expressed a preference for a party in the list and declare that they would definitely go to vote (67.1% of the total sample)

38.3% of the voters would vote for AUR, 16.6% for PNL, 15.2% for PSD, and 13.3% for USR. For UDMR would vote 4.7% of the voters, for SENS - 4.1%, for POT - 3.5%, and for SOS Romania - 1.8%. 1.5% of the respondents express their preference for another party, and 1.1% for an independent.

Download the graphical presentation here: BAROMETER Informat.ro - INSCOP Research: Voting intention for parliamentary elections