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The IMF has lowered its economic growth forecasts for Romania to 1% for 2025 and to 1.4% for 2026, reflecting a pessimistic view on inflation.

Cristina Petrache
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14 October 2025, 17:16
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The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has revised its economic growth estimates for Romania, forecasting a growth of only 1% for 2025, down from 1.6% and 3.3% in previous years. Additionally, the estimates for 2026 have been reduced to 1.4%, from 2.8%. The IMF anticipated a reduction in the current account deficit to 8% of GDP in 2025, compared to the previously estimated 7.6%, but an improvement to 6.6% is expected in 2026. Inflation is projected to remain high, with an annual average of 7.3% in 2025 and 6.7% in 2026, compared to previous estimates of 4.6% and 3.1%. The unemployment rate will rise to 5.9% in 2025, before slightly decreasing to 5.8% in 2026.

Sources

sursa imagine
G4Media
Fondul Monetar Internaţional a revizuit în scădere la 1% creșterea economică a României pentru acest an
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Antena3
Avalanșă de vești rele de la FMI: PIB-ul a fost revizuit în scădere, inflația rămâne ridicată timp de 12 luni iar șomajul crește
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Capital
BNR: Deficitul de cont curent a depășit 18,7 miliarde de euro. FMI reduce prognoza de creștere economică la 1% pentru 2025
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caleaeuropeana.ro
Raport FMI: România va înregistra o creștere economică modestă de 1% în 2025, având unul dintre cele mai mari deficite din Europa
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Business Magazin
Veşti proaste de la FMI: Economia României va creşte cu doar 1% în 2025, în timp ce prognozele pentru inflaţie şi şomaj se înrăutăţesc
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Stirile ProTV
Efectele măsurilor Guvernului Bolojan, evaluate de FMI. Raport oficial privind evoluția economiei României

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NEWS ON THE SAME TOPICS

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Economy
The IMF has revised its forecasts for economic growth in the euro area this year to 0.9%, due to the war.
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EBRD has negatively revised the economic forecast for Romania, predicting a decline of 0.2% in 2026
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The annual inflation rate in Romania is estimated to reach 10.3% in 2026, with high risks for the leu and economic activity.
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The European Commission lowers the EU growth forecast after the new energy shock from the Middle East
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The IMF has published the ranking of European countries regarding economic growth, with Romania being in 11th place.
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The unemployment rate in Romania reached 6.4% in May 2026, exceeding IMF estimates. The number of unemployed increased by 10,000 compared to April.
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Economy IMF International Monetary Fund economic growth drop deficit

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