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184 new news items in the last 24 hours
20 October 05:44
Original Content

The elections in R. Moldova, as seen by the public of the parties in Romania

Darie Cristea, director de cercetare INSCOP
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Foto INSCOP.ro

Last week I wrote about the INSCOP data from September and invited you to look at how distrust is distributed regarding the country's evolution among the different party electorates. There, beyond the positions or speeches of the parties, we found a very interesting opinion snapshot regarding this particular form of dissatisfaction, and we saw that the voters of PSD and AUR share one camp, while those of USR and PNL another. This is a fact.

Furthermore, the question is how deep this association of opinion is. How many points of convergence are there between the AUR electorate and the PSD electorate?

Repeated in October, the same question as mentioned above shows a similar dissatisfaction distributed with the direction in which the country is heading (slightly lower compared to September, but we cannot know if the decrease is relevant). Voters of USR and PNL believe rather that the country is heading in a good direction (although with differences in figures between them), while voters of AUR and PSD overwhelmingly believe that the direction is wrong. A situation like the one exposed last month, therefore – small percentage changes do not matter.

https://www.inscop.ro/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/15.10.2025-BAROMETRUL-Informat.ro-INSCOP-Directia-tarii.pdf

The same Barometer informat.ro conducted by Inscop at the beginning of October also asks about how Romanians relate to the recently held elections in Moldova. In general, Romanians view the results of the elections in Moldova positively (58-59%), about 20% have a bad opinion about it, and about 20% are uninterested. If we study these figures in relation to voting preferences, we see that USR voters are 92% favorable to the results of the elections across the Prut, while among PSD and PNL voters there is a favorability of 71% and 85%, respectively.

https://www.inscop.ro/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/14.10.2025-BAROMETRUL-Informat.ro-INSCOP-Alegeri-Republica-Moldova.pdf

AUR voters seem rather displeased with the results from Chișinău (39% do not agree with the result, 39% agree with it, plus a significant percentage of undecided). Most likely, there is a misunderstanding of the position of their favorite party (AUR) regarding the situation in Moldova.

We observe that here we no longer have a unity of public opinion between AUR and PSD voters, as in the question regarding the direction in which the country is evolving. The lesson is simple. The more complicated the theme, the harder simple messages land than they were projected.

ȘTIRI PE ACELEAȘI SUBIECTE

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Opinions
Votes are not made, they are taken from others.
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Opinions
I made some crossovers, so you don't have to do them.
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INSCOP Surveys
BAROMETRUL Informat.ro – INSCOP Research – Edition V. Chapter 2: Voting intention for the parliamentary elections | For the first time after the presidential elections in May 2025, AUR falls below the 40% threshold.
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INSCOP Surveys
BAROMETRUL Informat.ro – INSCOP Research – Edition V. Chapter 6: How Romanians vote depending on their residence environment | 70% of residents in rural areas would choose to vote for AUR and PSD if parliamentary elections were held next Sunday.
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INSCOP Surveys
BAROMETRUL Informat.ro – INSCOP Research – Edition V. Chapter 5: How Romanians vote based on education level | 51% of people with primary education would choose to vote for AUR vs. 31% of voters with higher education express a preference for USR.
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elections republic of moldova Darie Cristea Republic of Moldova

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