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130 new news items in the last 24 hours
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  2. Economy

iBanFirst analysis warns that Romania risks facing a sharp fiscal deterioration in 2025. The US dollar would head towards RON 5.

Călin Nicolescu
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8 January 2025, 09:52
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Rising global bond yields could lead to tighter investor scrutiny for countries with fragile fiscal positions, such as Romania. Romania's estimated deficit in 2025 is estimated at 7% of GDP, and measures such as pension hikes could exacerbate this risk. Analysts also warn of a possible downgrade of Romania's credit rating.

Sources

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Ziarul Financiar
Analiştii iBanFirst avertizează: principalul risc pentru România în 2025 este deteriorarea situaţiei fiscale din cauza creşterii randamentelor obligaţiunilor la nivel global; randamentele scăzute ale investiţiilor şi inflaţia persistentă vor împinge cursul USD/RON la 5,00, de la 4,73
sursa imagine
Economica
Dolarul se va îndrepta către 5 lei, dar cursul leu-euro se va menține relativ stabil. Cele mai mari riscuri pentru România sunt deteriorarea situației fiscale și inflația - Economica.net

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The BNR estimates an inflation rate of 5.5% for the end of 2026, but BCR warns that the forecast does not include the impact of the depreciation of the leu from May.
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