iBanFirst analysis warns that Romania risks facing a sharp fiscal deterioration in 2025. The US dollar would head towards RON 5.
Călin Nicolescu
Economy
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Rising global bond yields could lead to tighter investor scrutiny for countries with fragile fiscal positions, such as Romania. Romania's estimated deficit in 2025 is estimated at 7% of GDP, and measures such as pension hikes could exacerbate this risk. Analysts also warn of a possible downgrade of Romania's credit rating.
Sources
Analiştii iBanFirst avertizează: principalul risc pentru România în 2025 este deteriorarea situaţiei fiscale din cauza creşterii randamentelor obligaţiunilor la nivel global; randamentele scăzute ale investiţiilor şi inflaţia persistentă vor împinge cursul USD/RON la 5,00, de la 4,73
Dolarul se va îndrepta către 5 lei, dar cursul leu-euro se va menține relativ stabil. Cele mai mari riscuri pentru România sunt deteriorarea situației fiscale și inflația - Economica.net
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