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The NBR decided to keep the key interest rate at 6.5%, anticipating an increase in inflation due to recent fiscal measures.

Liviu Brăteanu
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8 August 2025, 14:11
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The National Bank of Romania (NBR) has kept the key interest rate at 6.5%, as expected, while economists monitor the impact of fiscal measures on inflation. Inflation is expected to rise significantly in the coming months, peaking above 8% in the autumn, driven by the liberalization of energy prices and VAT hikes. The NBR will not raise interest rates, but will manage liquidity, anticipating interest rate cuts only in 2026. The leu remains overvalued and the current account deficit continues to weigh on the currency.

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Banca Centrală „îngheață”dobânda cheie, de teama presiunilor inflaționiste ale măsurilor guvernamenale
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BNR a menținut dobânda cheie și se așteaptă la un „amplu salt” al inflației
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BNR a menținut dobânda de politică monetară, în linie cu așteptările economiștilor și bancherilor
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BNR a menţinut dobânda cheie la 6,50% pe an

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NEWS ON THE SAME TOPICS

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Economy
The BNR has decided to maintain the key interest rate at 6.5% to avoid negative economic impact, in the context of an inflation rate of 10.85% in Romania.
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Economy
The BNR has decided to maintain the key interest rate at 6.50% per year and has warned that inflation will rise due to the war in the Middle East.
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Economy
The annual inflation rate in Romania is estimated to reach 10.3% in 2026, with high risks for the leu and economic activity.
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Economy
The BNR estimates an inflation rate of 5.5% for the end of 2026, but BCR warns that the forecast does not include the impact of the depreciation of the leu from May.
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International
The Federal Reserve of the USA has decided to keep the benchmark interest rates unchanged, in the context of rising oil prices and high inflation.
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Economy
Eurostat: Inflation in the EU rises to 3.3%, Romania remains with the highest rate of 9.7%
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NBR interest inflation

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