The European Commission forecasts a low budget deficit for Romania of up to 6.2% of GDP in 2026 and an economic growth of 1.1%

According to the European Commission's forecast, Romania's economy will register a growth of 1.1% in 2026 and will accelerate to over 2% in 2027. The public deficit, which reached 9.3% of GDP in 2024, will decrease to 6.2% in 2026 and 5.9% in 2027, due to fiscal consolidation measures. GDP growth will remain modest, at 0.7% in 2025, due to high inflation and affected private consumption.

However, the recovery of private investments and the improvement of exports will support the economy. The unemployment rate will rise slightly, and wages will be stagnant in the public sector. Inflation will accelerate in 2025, but a decrease is expected in 2026. Additionally, public debt will increase from 55% of GDP in 2024 to 63% in 2027.