Cristian Diaconescu, former Minister of Foreign Affairs, stated on Digi24 that a regime change in Iran is unlikely in the current context, even after the death of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. He emphasized that external military actions, without ground intervention, have not led to regime changes in the past, but have generated prolonged crises. Diaconescu highlighted the lack of a ground component in the US-Israel operation and the reluctance of Gulf states to get directly involved in the conflict. He also mentioned the American dilemma between a targeted military action and an official declaration of war, emphasizing the internal constraints of the American administration. In conclusion, he stated that regime change in Iran requires much more than airstrikes and external pressure, considering the complexity of the situation.
Sources
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