Prime Minister Francois Bayrou survived his eighth no-confidence motion, but budget challenges in the fall could be decisive for his political future.

Francois Bayrou passed his eighth no-confidence motion, backed by Marine Le Pen, who refused to join the opposition. However, budget challenges in the fall look tough, and Le Pen will impose tough demands for the 2026 budget. Bayrou's disapprove rating has reached 80% and his prospects of staying in office are doubtful. In addition, Le Pen could seek to replace Bayrou given his party's rising popularity.