BAROMETRUL Informat.ro - INSCOP Research - Voting intention parliamentary elections | 40% of voters would vote for AUR, 17.6% for PSD, 14.8% for PNL, and 11.5% for USR

Chapter 1: Voting Intentions for Parliamentary Elections

According to BAROMETRUL Informat.ro – INSCOP Research, edition IV, conducted between October 6-10, 2025, the electoral score of the parties tends to stabilize.

BAROMETRUL Informat.ro – INSCOP Research is a monthly opinion poll conducted by INSCOP Research on behalf of the news platform Informat.ro in partnership with the Strategic Thinking Group think tank.

BAROMETRUL Informat.ro – INSCOP Research aims to bring to the public's attention topics of interest to stimulate national conversations about various subjects and essential public policies for the present and future of Romania, based on the opinions of Romanians in partnership with prestigious think tanks and academic institutions. It is an initiative through which we aim to contribute to the strengthening of democracy by using scientific and credible tools that bring the voice of citizens to the forefront of public debate.

Methodology: Data was collected between October 6-10, 2025. Research method: interview via questionnaire. Data was collected using the CATI method (telephone interviews), with a simple stratified sample volume of 1100 people, representative of significant socio-demographic categories (gender, age, occupation) for the non-institutionalized population of Romania, aged 18 and over. The maximum allowable error of the data is ± 2.95%, at a confidence level of 95%.

Graphical presentation of the data is available here: BAROMETRUL Informat.ro - INSCOP Research - Voting Intentions for Parliamentary Elections

Remus Ștefureac – director INSCOP Research: "Autumn seems to bring a stabilization of voting intentions, with the ruling parties having a cumulative score of approximately 50%, while the parties in parliamentary opposition have a cumulative score of approximately 45%. AUR seems to be consolidating in first place in voting intentions with a score of 40%, while the other parties fail to surpass 20%. PSD occupies second place, followed by PNL, USR, and UDMR. POT and SOS Romania have scores below the 5% threshold, at a relatively similar level to the score obtained by SENS."

Voting Intentions for Parliamentary Elections

Estimated voter participation in parliamentary elections

On a scale from 1 to 10, where 1 means "definitely not" going to vote and 10 means "definitely yes" going to vote, 13.2% of Romanians chose 1, 0.9% chose 2, 1.1% chose 3, 0.6% chose 4, 2.2% chose 5, 0.8% chose 6, 2.2% chose 7. 2.7% indicate 8, 2% indicate 9. 72.7% indicate 10. 1.5% do not know or do not answer this question.

Voting Intentions for Political Parties in the Parliamentary Elections

Reported for those who expressed a preference for a party on the list, regardless of whether they declare they would go to vote or not (77.4% of the total sample)

40% of voters would vote for AUR (compared to 40.8% in September 2025, 40.5% in June 2025, 38.1% in May 2025), 17.6% for PSD (compared to 17.9% in September 2025, 13.7% in June 2025, 17.4% in May 2025), 14.8% for PNL (compared to 15.2% in September 2025, 17.3% in June 2025), and 11.5% for USR (compared to 12.8% in September 2025, 13.1% in June 2025, 12.2% in May 2025). For UDMR, 5.2% of voters would vote (compared to 4% in September 2025, 5.2% in June 2025, 4.5% in May 2025), for SENS – 3.4% (compared to 2.1% in September 2025, 2.4% in June 2025, 3.3% in May 2025), for POT, 2.6% of voters would vote (compared to 3.3% in September 2025, 4.2% in June 2025, 3.2% in May 2025), and for SOS Romania – 2% (compared to 2.8% in September 2025, 1.9% in June 2025, 2.5% in May 2025). 1.3% of voters express a preference for an independent candidate (compared to 0.6% in September 2025, 1.4% in June 2025, 1.5% in May 2025), and 1.6% for another party (compared to 0.6% in September 2025, 0.5% in June 2025, 1.3% in May 2025).