BAROMETRUL Informat.ro - INSCOP Research - Voting intention for parliamentary elections | 40.8% of voters would vote for AUR, 17.9% for PSD, 15.2% for PNL, and 12.8% for USR

Chapter 1: Voting Intentions for Parliamentary Elections

According to the BAROMETER Informat.ro – INSCOP Research, edition III, conducted between September 1 - 9, 2025, AUR continues to lead significantly in the preferences of the electorate for the parliamentary elections.

BAROMETER Informat.ro – INSCOP Research is a monthly opinion poll conducted by INSCOP Research on behalf of the news platform Informat.ro in partnership with the Strategic Thinking Group think tank.

BAROMETER Informat.ro – INSCOP Research aims to bring to the public's attention topics of interest to stimulate national conversations about various subjects and essential public policies for the present and future of Romania, based on the opinions of Romanians in partnership with prestigious think tanks and academic institutions. It is an initiative through which we aim to contribute to the strengthening of democracy by using scientific and credible tools that bring the voice of citizens to the forefront of public debate.

Methodology: Data was collected between September 1-9, 2025. Research method: interview via questionnaire. Data was collected using the CATI method (telephone interviews), with a simple stratified sample volume of 1103 people, representative of significant socio-demographic categories (gender, age, occupation) for the non-institutionalized population of Romania, aged 18 and over. The maximum allowable error of the data is ± 2.95%, at a confidence level of 95%.

Remus Ștefureac – director of INSCOP Research: "The first sociological measure from the INSCOP-Informat.ro Barometer, conducted after the end of the holiday, shows a consolidation of voting intention for AUR around the threshold of 40%. A slight increase in voting intention for PSD is observed, a slight decrease for PNL, and stagnation for USR. The cumulative electoral support for the four parties of the governing coalition (PSD, PNL, USR, UDMR) of nearly 50% is only 3 percentage points higher than the electoral support for the opposition parliamentary parties (AUR, POT, and SOS) of approximately 47%. Even though the electoral support for the coalition parties is not collapsing, the data suggest a strong polarization, with half of the total voters supporting the ruling parties and half supporting the opposition parties."

Voting Intentions for Parliamentary Elections

Estimated Voter Participation in Parliamentary Elections

On a scale from 1 to 10, where 1 means "definitely not" going to vote and 10 means "definitely yes" going to vote, 11% of Romanians chose 1, 1.1% chose 2, 0.4% chose 3, 0.3% chose 4, 5% chose 5, 1% chose 6, 2% chose 7. 4% indicate 8, 3% 9, and 71% indicate 10. 1.2% do not know or do not answer this question.

Voting Intentions for Political Parties in the Parliamentary Elections

Regarding those who expressed a preference for a party from the list, regardless of whether they declare they would definitely go to vote or not (78.7% of the total sample)

40.8% of voters would vote for AUR (compared to 40.5% in June 2025, 38.1% in May 2025), 17.9% for PSD (compared to 13.7% in June 2025, 17.4% in May 2025), 15.2% for PNL (compared to 17.3% in June 2025), and 12.8% for USR (compared to 13.1% in June 2025, 12.2% in May 2025). For POT, 3.3% of voters would vote (compared to 4.2% in June 2025, 3.2% in May 2025), for UDMR - 4% (compared to 5.2% in June 2025, 4.5% in May 2025), for SOS Romania – 2.8% (compared to 1.9% in June 2025, 2.5% in May 2025), and for SENS - 2.1% (compared to 2.4% in June 2025, 3.3% in May 2025). 0.6% of voters express a preference for an independent (compared to 1.4% in June 2025, 1.5% in May 2025), and 0.6% for another party (compared to 0.5% in June 2025, 1.3% in May 2025).

A graphical presentation of the data is available here: BAROMETER Informat.ro - INSCOP Research - Voting Intentions for Parliamentary Elections