Analysis. How specialists expect the real estate market in Romania to evolve by 2026

Experts see a 2026 transition for the real estate market: weaker activity, stagnant monthly premiums, price increases slowing down significantly, and large differences between good housing and the rest of the old stock. A scenario of "collapse" does not appear, but rather a selective market, where correctly positioned and energy-efficient properties maintain or even moderately increase their value.

How analysts see the year 2026

Many analyses talk about a market that "moves cautiously" in 2026, affected by inflation, still high interest rates, and fiscal changes (including higher taxes on housing).

Estimates show reduced real estate activity in 2026, with a slow improvement only from 2027, against the backdrop of a gradual easing of monetary policy.

Dynamics of housing prices

Several sources converge on the idea of moderate growth or even stagnation in the first months of 2026, not generalized sharp declines.

An ING report indicates low activity and upward pressure on the prices of "good" apartments (good location, high energy efficiency), while old and inefficient properties may have larger discounts to sell.

Demand, supply, and buyer behavior

Perception studies show that 64% of Romanians interested in buying in 2026 expect price decreases, and over half of sellers believe the same, which fuels aggressive negotiation and decision delays.

Experts emphasize that, in the absence of a "capitulation" of owners, those who actually buy are the ones who effectively impose the price through their offers, which can lead to targeted corrections in weaker segments and areas.

Structural trends (what types of housing perform better)

Recent reports indicate a migration of demand towards smaller, energy-efficient, and cheaper housing, against the backdrop of rising bills and taxes.

The supply of quality new housing is still considered insufficient compared to the old housing stock (average age over 60 years), which supports prices in the new, well-located segment.

What it practically means for buyers in 2026

For 2026, more experts recommend caution, focusing on well-documented projects and firm negotiation, especially for old or poorly positioned properties, where price pressure is higher.

In the short term, scenarios favor slow growth, not a bubble, especially in the segment of efficient and well-located housing, so the timing of purchase depends more on financing and the concrete quality of the property than on "perfect market timing".

Analysis conducted with the support of NewsVibe and Perplexity Comet