The economy of the United States recorded a growth of 4.3% in the third quarter of 2025, exceeding expectations, however a slowdown is anticipated for the fourth quarter, amid the government shutdown.

The economy of the United States recorded a surprising economic growth of 4.3% in the third quarter of 2025, according to the report from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. This figure significantly exceeded analysts' forecasts, which estimated a growth of up to 3.3%. However, economists warn that this advance could slow down in the last quarter due to a government shutdown, which could reduce GDP by 1-2 percentage points.

Indicators from Q3 show that, despite a negative perception from consumers and a declining labor market, the economy started October on a solid basis. Consumption, which accounts for about 70% of the annual economy, increased by 3.5%, driven by purchases of electric vehicles and investments in the technology sector, particularly in infrastructure for artificial intelligence.

Although the economy has grown, inflationary pressures remain high, with a PCE price index of 2.8% in Q3. Low-income families are facing stagnant wages and rising costs of household goods, while consumption is mainly supported by higher-income Americans. This creates a discrepancy between favorable macroeconomic indicators and the economic reality of a significant portion of the population, which is experiencing a decline in the standard of living.