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7 July 17:18

The Reuters poll forecasts inflation of 5.6% in Romania at the end of June, with expectations rising to 6.2% in 2025.

Raluca Niculae

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Economy

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Inflation in Romania is expected to rise to 5.6% year-on-year at the end of June, influenced by the increase in VAT and other taxes in August. Analysts forecast inflation at 6.2% by 2025, exceeding the central bank's target of 4.6%. The benchmark interest rate is expected to remain at 6.50% in July, and economic growth is forecast at 1.3% in 2025 and 2.2% in 2026.

Sources

Inflaţia din România urcă la 6,2% la sfârşitul anului, arată un sondaj Reuters / Economia, avans de 1,3%

Inflaţia din România va creşte la 6,2% la sfârşitul anului, iar creşterea economică este estimată la 1,3% (Reuters)

Sondaj Reuters: Inflaţia din România creşte la 5,6 la sută în iunie şi la 6,2 la sută la sfârşitul anului. Creşterea economică în 2025, estimată la 1,3 la sută

ȘTIRI PE ACELEAȘI SUBIECTE

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Romania recorded in September the highest inflation in the EU, at 9.88%, with significant increases in non-food goods and services.

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CFA Romania analysts signal a possible entry into recession for the Romanian economy, according to the Macroeconomic Confidence Indicator, with expectations of increased budget deficit and declining inflation.

Current Affairs

eJobs Survey: 76% of respondents are affected by the recent price increases. Romanians are giving up city outings, buying clothes less often, putting vacations on hold, and purchasing brands from lower price categories.

Economy

A survey shows that 41% of managers anticipate an economic decline in 2026, while 49% estimate stagnation in company activity.

Current Affairs

The Director of the Treasury, Ștefan Nanu, anticipates a decrease in interest rates in the second half of 2026, due to the stabilization of the economy and recent measures.

Economy

The President of the Fiscal Council, Daniel Dăianu, estimates an economic growth of Romania between 0% and 1% this year.

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