Military analyst Sandu Valentin Mateiu warns that a collapse of Ukraine could facilitate a Russian political offensive in the Republic of Moldova, affecting the security of Romania.

Sandu Valentin Mateiu emphasizes that, in the event of a collapse of Ukraine, Russia could act politically in the Republic of Moldova before resorting to military actions. The parliamentary elections in Moldova are crucial, considering the pro-Russian political division, which could fuel territorial claims over Romania. According to Mateiu, Romania does not risk a land threat as long as Ukraine resists, but Moscow could try to provoke NATO in the Black Sea, drawn by the region's natural gas resources.