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The confidence vote scheduled for September 8, 2024, is crucial for Prime Minister François Bayrou, who is in a difficult position, with almost all political forces ready to oppose the motion. If the vote is unfavorable, President Emmanuel Macron will have to choose between appointing a new prime minister, forming a provisional government, or dissolving the National Assembly. This complicated situation is generated by a proposal to reduce the budget from 2026, and Bayrou, the fourth prime minister in three years, warns that his dismissal could trigger a deep crisis.