74% of analysts expect Romania to remain in the recommended investment grade rating category, despite persistent economic risks.

The CFA Romania survey shows that 74% of analysts expect Romania to remain in the favorable investment rating category over the next 12 months. Although the macroeconomic confidence indicator has risen, economic risks, such as the budget deficit and expected inflation of 4.87%, remain high. Some 70% of respondents foresee a depreciation of the leu and 60% anticipate stagnating house prices. Public debt could reach 59% of GDP and 26% of analysts believe Romania could be downgraded to junk.