BAROMETRUL Informat.ro - INSCOP Research - Edition VIII, March 2026. Chapter 1: Voting intention parliamentary elections |

BAROMETER Informat.ro - INSCOP Research - Edition VIII, March 2026

Chapter 1: Voting Intentions for Parliamentary Elections

According to BAROMETER Informat.ro – INSCOP Research, edition VIII, conducted between March 2-6, 2026, AUR remains in the first position in the preferences of Romanians for the parliamentary elections, but falls below the 40% threshold, three percentage points less than in January 2026.

BAROMETER Informat.ro – INSCOP Research is a monthly opinion poll conducted by INSCOP Research on behalf of the news platform Informat.ro in partnership with the Strategic Thinking Group think tank.

BAROMETER Informat.ro – INSCOP Research aims to bring to the public's attention topics of interest to stimulate national conversations about various subjects and essential public policies for the present and future of Romania, based on the opinions of Romanians in partnership with think tanks and prestigious academic institutions. It is an initiative through which we aim to contribute to the strengthening of democracy by using scientific and credible tools that bring the voice of citizens to the forefront of public debate.

Methodology: Data was collected between March 2-6, 2026. Research method: interview via questionnaire. Data was collected using the CATI method (telephone interviews), with a simple stratified sample volume of 1100 people, representative of significant socio-demographic categories (gender, age, occupation) for the non-institutionalized population of Romania, aged 18 and over. The maximum allowable error of the data is ± 3%, at a confidence level of 95%.

Graphical presentation of the data is available here: BAROMETER Informat.ro - INSCOP Research - Edition VIII, March 2026 / Voting Intentions for Parliamentary Elections

Remus Ștefureac – Director INSCOP Research: "The INSCOP-Informat.ro Barometer shows that AUR falls again below the 40% threshold, reaching 38%, down from nearly 41% at the beginning of the year. PSD and PNL are separated by 3-5 percentage points depending on the reporting base – respondents who choose a party, respectively respondents who choose a party and are sure they will vote, while PNL and USR are separated by 1-3 percentage points based on the same criteria. Analyzing the INSCOP data measured over the last 10 months, there is no clear trend of increase or decrease for any political party in Romania.

Estimated Voter Participation

On a scale from 1 to 10, where 1 means "definitely not" going to vote and 10 means "definitely yes" going to vote, 16.2% of Romanians chose 1, 1.5% chose 2, 0.7% chose 3, 0.8% chose 4, 3.3% chose 5, 1.3% chose 6, 3.1% chose 7. 5% indicate 8, 1.9% choose 9 and 65.4% indicate 10. 1% do not know or do not answer this question.

Voting Intentions for Parliamentary Elections

Regarding those who expressed a preference for a party on the list, regardless of whether they declare they would definitely go to vote or not (73.5% of the total sample)

• AUR: 38% of voters would vote for AUR (compared to 40.9% in January 2026, 38% in November, 40% in October, 40.8% in September, 40.5% in June, 38.1% in May 2025).

• PSD: 19.2% for PSD (compared to 18.2% in January 2026, 19.5% in November, 17.6% in October, 17.9% in September, 13.7% in June, 17.4% in May 2025).

• PNL: 14.5% for PNL (compared to 13.5% in January 2026, 14.6% in November, 14.8% in October, 15.2% in September, 17.3% in June, 16% in May 2025).

• USR: 11.4% for USR (compared to 11.7% in January 2026, 12.3% in November, 11.5% in October, 12.8% in September, 13.1% in June, 12.2% in May 2025).

• UDMR: 4% of voters would vote for UDMR (compared to 4.9% in January 2026, 4.8% in November, 5.2% in October, 4% in September, 5.2% in June, 4.5% in May 2025).

• SENS: 3.6% for SENS (compared to 3.4% in January 2026, 3.2% in November, 3.4% in October, 2.1% in September, 2.4% in June 2025).

• SOS Romania: 3.3% for SOS Romania (compared to 2.8% in January 2026, 1.7% in November, 2% in October, 2.8% in September, 1.9% in June 2025).

• POT: 3% of voters would vote for POT (compared to 1.5% in January 2026, 3.1% in November, 2.6% in October, 3.3% in September, 4.2% in June 2025)

• Other party: 1.6% of voters would vote for another party (compared to 1.1% in January 2026, 1.8% in November, 1.6% in October, 0.6% in September, 0.5% in June 2025)

• Independent: 1.4% express a preference for an independent candidate (compared to 2% in January 2026, 1% in November, 1.3% in October, 0.6% in September, 1.4% in June 2025).

Regarding those who expressed a preference for a party on the list and declared they would definitely go to vote (53.8% of the total sample)

38.6% of those who expressed a voting opinion would vote for AUR, 16.9% for PSD, 13.9% for PNL, 13.4% for USR. 4.4% of voters would opt for UDMR, 3.6% for SENS, 3.1% for POT, and 3.4% for SOS Romania. 1.5% of respondents express a preference for another party, and 1.2% for an independent candidate.